Seeking Alpha article used statistical approach to estimate S&P 500 P/E market multiple based on macroeconomic variables. Treasury yield and federal spending to GDP ratio are significant variables ...
Some recent research has suggested that macroeconomic variables, such as output and inflation, can improve interest rate forecasts. However, the evidence for this puzzling result is based on ...
History suggests that extreme run-ups in the cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio are a signal that the stock market may be overvalued. A simple regression model using a small set of macroeconomic ...
In this speech, I will lay out a path to modeling macrofinancial dynamics using a recent approach that I have worked on, and illustrate the usefulness of this avenue with a term structure application.
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Yarilet Perez is an experienced multimedia journalist and fact-checker with a Master of Science in Journalism. She has worked in multiple cities covering breaking news, politics, education, and more.
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