The study of interest rate models and term structure analysis is central to understanding financial markets, underpinning the valuation of fixed income securities, derivatives, and risk management ...

WASHINGTON, DC - NOVEMBER 02: (L to R) U.S. President Donald Trump looks on as his nominee for the chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell takes to the podium during a press event in the Rose ...

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Empirical monetary policy shocks (EMPS) contain information about monetary policy both today and in the future. We define the term structure of monetary policy news as the marginal impact of an EMPS ...

For the first time since December 2024, interest rates have been cut, giving borrowers reason for cautious optimism. Savers, however, may want to strongly consider pivoting their approach. The high ...

The Fed's upcoming rate cut is widely anticipated, but Powell's commentary and SEP projections will drive market sentiment. A hawkish tone from Powell may prompt a post-cut selloff, presenting a ...

Despite the Fed’s rate-cut campaign, medium- and longer-term interest rates in the US have risen sharply in recent months. This has weighed heavily on bond investors’ returns (as higher bond yields ...

Researchers from the Federal Reserve Banks of New York and San Francisco studied financial markets to divine the probability of the Fed's benchmark interest rate falling back to zero. During the 2008 ...

President Trump has been unhappy with the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions, which in 2025 have left policy rates unchanged. The president, along with his fellow real estate developers, ...

Ten- and 30-year Treasury yields rose this week despite the Federal Reserve cutting its short-term interest rate. The 10-year yield is little changed since early 2024, despite the Fed cutting rates ...