Weekly indicators provide a timely nowcast of the economy, signaling changes before monthly or quarterly data is available, and help “mark your beliefs to market.”. Long leading indicators, including ...

The Federal Reserve seems poised to cut interest rates soon, and fear of a recession is one driver why the central bank would want to slash borrowing costs. Steven Goldstein is based in London and ...

The U.S. 2-/10-year slope inverted in mid-2022, and we are still waiting for the recession that was allegedly predicted by the yield curve. For those of us who are not yield curve maximalists, we can ...

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has ...

The market’s most closely watched part of the yield curve inverted today, and if its record over the last half-century is any indicator, the U.S. could be headed for a recession soon. Shortly after 6 ...

Economists have been warning of a recession for so long it’s hard to remember when they didn’t warn of one. Now there’s another sign that the U.S. economy could be headed for a fall — the U.S.

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Two recession indicators are on the verge of flashing as the unemployment rate ticks higher and the yield curve uninverts. But stock market investors can still rest easy as the drivers behind each ...

A humped yield curve is a relatively rare type of yield curve that results when the interest rates on medium-term fixed income securities are higher than the rates of both long and short-term ...

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest... Can the yield curve still predict recessions? Two years ...